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By Gregory F. Treverton
This file assesses intelligence research around the major U.S. intelligence companies and makes a few concepts, a few of which parallel projects that experience all started within the wake of the December 2004 laws, for example, create a Deputy Director of nationwide Intelligence as a focus for research, determine a countrywide Intelligence collage, construct an extended time period research Unit on the nationwide Intelligence Council, and shape an Open resource middle for making extra inventive use of open-source fabrics.
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Extra info for Assessing the Tradecraft of Intelligence Analysis (Technical Report)
That means taking the intelligence data, in whatever form and from whatever source, and applying scientiﬁc and engineering models to determine the capabilities of aircraft, missiles, and other types of weapon systems. S. 3 In those debates, even some high-level policymakers were interested in analysis at this level. In any case, there is a large potential set of customers in industry, middle levels of government, academia, and elsewhere for this kind of information. Insiders Versus Outsiders As this example indicates, the Intelligence Community, deﬁned narrowly as the agencies themselves, may not necessarily be the most capable institution for doing this kind of engineering-level analysis.
16 Many analysts have neither the production incentive nor the introspective bent to interrupt their workﬂow to learn algorithms about analytic techniques or the tradecraft unique to their jobs—particularly when those techniques themselves may be undergoing rapid change to suit a new domain or information demand. The watchword for analysts is: If it takes more than 15 minutes to learn, I cannot aﬀord it. Two more recent initiatives have sought to learn the lessons from this experience. 17 The Web crawlers produced by IBM and tailored to FBIS’s needs far surpass Google in eﬃciency.
It does have its connections to the world of policy. However, the skills for doing that ﬁnal integration and synthesis of ideas that policymakers need to inform decisions may be diﬀerent from the special expertise of the Intelligence Community, which is collecting data and extracting speciﬁc kinds of information from it. Performing that integration and synthesis function is likely to require greater understanding of the policymakers, their agendas and predispositions, and the forms of presentation or argument that they will ﬁnd congenial.