By S. Tsang

The top of the chilly warfare has unfortunately no longer introduced an finish to the entire significant confrontations of the final century. One such disagreement is the stand-off around the Taiwan Strait. regardless of more and more interwoven financial hyperlinks among the People's Republic of China and Taiwan lately, the strain among the 2 has now not dissipated. Tsang and a gaggle of foreign specialists study the topic of peace and safety around the Taiwan Strait and recommend versions for peace.

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2 Five levels of the PRC policy-making structures complete disarray. While the paramount leader comes and goes, the party still stays on the top, buttressed by the three vertical systems (party, state and military) at five levels. The way the system functions, however, has changed significantly over time in the following ways. Weakening paramount individual leader(s) Perhaps more than any of his predecessors, Jiang Zemin’s tenure as China’s paramount leader was embedded with policy institutions. Before Jiang, China’s leaders may not have had the top and nominal positions such as the chairmanship or the general secretaryship of the party.

This might also explain why policies toward Taiwan have become more protracted, indecisive and even inflexible. Broadening and defusing of policy deliberation and policy-making arena The relatively indecisive role of current paramount leaders in China’s foreign and Taiwan policy making is perhaps inevitable due to the increasingly complex nature of the Taiwan issue. No only does the Taiwan issue – essentially an unfinished civil war with international implications – cuts across domestic and foreign affairs but it also affects almost all foreign policy issues.

It means that from Beijing’s point of view Taiwan is moving in a direction away from ‘reunification’ rather than in the ‘right’ direction at the moment. War or Peace Across the Taiwan Strait 15 The danger in cross-Strait relations is therefore not one of either government deliberately provoking a showdown. It is one of an unintended crisis caused by the miscalculation and misreading of the other’s intention and/or likely response to a bold policy initiative driven by some powerful domestic political forces.

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