By Gerald K. Haines, Robert E. Leggett, Center for the Study of Intelligence (U.S.)
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Extra info for CIA's Analysis of the Soviet Union, 1947-1991: A Documentary Collection
They demonstrate a timeless theme of CIA’s analysis of the USSR: the struggle to understand and depict change in a country whose leaders could not themselves foresee the consequences of their decisions. 45 7. 46 7. (continued) 47 7. (continued) 48 7. (continued) 49 8. 50 8. (continued) 51 8. (continued) 52 8. (continued) 53 8. (continued) 54 8.
In late 1961, Board of National Estimates chairman Sherman Kent covered the highlights of CIA’s views on Soviet matters— including the critical issue of Sino-Soviet differences—in an analytic memorandum prepared for a new Director of Central Intelligence, John McCone. The next two documents are broad estimates of Soviet policy that captured CIA’s view of the period of Brezhnev’s ascendancy as East-West “détente” began to flower. NIE 11-69 was done as President Richard Nixon was taking office, and NIE 1172 as he was about to depart for his summit meeting in Moscow at which the initial SALT accords were signed.
21 2. 22 2. (continued) 23 2. (continued) 24 3. 25 3. (continued) 26 3. (continued) 27 3. (continued) 28 4. 29 4. (continued) 30 4. (continued) 31 4. (continued) 32 5. 33 5. (continued) 34 6. 35 6. (continued) 36 6. (continued) 37 6. (continued) 38 6. (continued) 39 6. (continued) 40 6. (continued) 41 $QDO\]LQJ 6RYLHW 3ROLWLFV DQG )RUHLJQ 3ROLF\ 2 7 2 ) 9 2 6 6 6 $ 7 Analyzing Soviet Politics and Foreign Policy Author’s Comments: Douglas Garthoff The documents in this section were selected to reflect different kinds of products, including analytic memoranda as well as research studies, assessments, and estimates.